Fantasy Baseball

2017 Fantasy Baseball Week 13 Stock Report: Superman’s Kryptonite


Listen everyone. I know it’s been a tough year for closers. There has been a lot of turnover and many owners have been left with minimal options for saves. Just remember, no matter how desperate you get. Do not add Francisco Rodriguez. Yes he was signed by the Nationals, and we all know Dusty loves his veteran closers. But remember, a few saves aren’t worth ruining your ratios.

Fear not, a much more interesting comeback is about to take place. Madison Bumgarner will make a rehab start at Triple-A this Friday in preparation for his return. Of course, Bumgarner hasn’t pitched since April due to a shoulder injury. He slowly, but surely works his way back from a dirt bike accident that has kept him out for months. The Giants’ ace is aiming for a return around the All-Star break.

Hoping all my fellow Canadians enjoy their Canada Day celebrations. I know I’ve got plenty of beer and baseball ready to go.

2017 Fantasy Baseball Week 13 Stock Report

Stock Up

Keon Broxton, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

The sleeping giant is finally waking up. Broxton was an incredibly popular mid-round pick after showing immense potential at the end of last season. However, this season hasn’t started as well as hoped. His BB% is nearly half of what it was last season, at 7.5%. His strikeout rate has also gotten worse, sitting at a putrid 38.1%. He was dropped en mass after slashing .191/.276/.324 in April.

Broxton has been much improved lately, specifically in June. Broxton has been a monster in the power department lately. His SLG. for the month sits at .600, while his .OPS is a robust .913 While his average will never be a positive category, Broxton continues to provide above average contributions across the other four categories. He’s hit seven home runs this month and has stolen four bases in his last six games, including one swipe in three straight games.

Despite Broxton’s obvious shortcomings, he has the potential to be a solid four category weapon in the second half. Criminally under-owned at 39% in ESPN leagues, owners should be checking the waiver wire for his availability. His streakiness can be frustrating but his high points are well worth the headaches.

Wilson Ramos, C, Tampa Bay Rays

Ramos signed a two-year contract with the Rays in the offseason. He played his first game on Saturday after recovering from an ACL tear he suffered last year as a member of the Nationals. Before the injury, Ramos was one of the most valuable catchers in Fantasy. His .307 average and 22 home runs were solid from the catcher position. Owners on the endless carousel of catcher sadness can rejoice! Ramos has recovered and is starting behind the plate for the Rays.

He won’t produce incredible numbers right away, as the Rays will hold him out of consecutive games in the early-going. However, the Rays offense has been good, giving Ramos the opportunity to produce. In his first game back, Ramos hit sixth just behind Logan Morrison and Steven Souza Jr. who have been getting on-base at a good rate, giving Ramos plenty of opportunities.

Owners in two-catcher leagues should add Ramos before he finds a groove. His track record and spot within a solid Rays lineup give him way more upside than most options on the wire.

Dan Straily, SP, Miami Marlins

After a rough April, Straily has steadily improved his ERA to a respectable 3.43. Beyond his ERA, Straily has made significant improvements that show his performance has been no fluke. His K/9 has been good all season, and sits at 9.21. However, Straily was being limited by his 4.15 and 3.38 BB/9 in April and May, respectively. He seems to have turned a corner in June, walking less than one batter per nine innings (0.77), leading to a month-long ERA of 3.09.

Straily’s batted ball profile is also pointing in the right direction. His ground ball rate and soft hit percentage are the best of his career, at 38% and 21% respectively. With excellent control and an ability to induce weak contact, Straily should be able to maintain an ERA around 3.50 for the remainder of the season.

Straily also has the luxury of pitching in the NL East and routinely gets to face the Phillies and Mets. He is just over 50% owned in ESPN leagues, but should be a solid middle rotation contributor for owners in the second half.

Stock Down

Kevin Pillar, OF, Toronto Blue Jays

For the past couple of seasons, Pillar has been a player who has not been able to put together a great season despite ample opportunity. For the second consecutive season, Pillar started the season as the Blue Jay’s leadoff hitter, but wasn’t able to take advantage. Pillar started the season on a tear, slashing .301/.339/.505 in April. His May numbers took a slight dip, but Pillar was still a productive leadoff hitter.

However, Pillar has struggled in June, hitting just .222 with six RBI in 22 games this month. Pillar was removed from the leadoff spot late last week and will hit sixth or lower in the Toronto lineup for the foreseeable future. If he’s not hitting in front of Josh Donaldson and co. Pillar simply does not contribute enough to warrant a roster spot in 12 team leagues.

He will be worth considering if the Jays shuffle their lineup again, but his value takes a massive hit while he occupies the bottom half of the order.

Tanner Roark, SP, Washington Nationals

Talk about a rough patch. Over his last three starts, Roark has surrendered 19 earned runs over 13.2 innings. Over the thre, games his ERA has jumped from 3.87 to 5.15. Of course, Roark isn’t as bad as these last few starts would suggest, but his numbers are finally starting to catch up to his peripherals.

Last season, Roark outpitched his FIP and xFIP by nearly a full run, on his way to a 2.83 ERA. This season, Roark has seen huge regression in his HR/FB, LOB%, and BABIP. A massive increase in medium and hard contact is a big factor is Roark’s regression. He is not a high strikeout pitcher, and if he is unable to induce weaker contact his BABIP was bound to increase.

Roark won’t get shelled every outing, but expect his ERA to settle around 4.00 for the rest of the season. He is over-owned in ESPN leagues at 70%. Owners should be looking at other options who provide more upside.

Dylan Bundy, SP, Baltimore Orioles

Bundy’s downfall wasn’t completely unexpected, but the regression from his hot start has been quick and painful. Despite a decent effort in his last start, Bundy has been less than stellar lately. His hot start to the season was based on good control (1.65 BB/9) and his ability to keep the ball in the yard (0.55 HR/9). Since the beginning of May, Bundy has done neither of those things. His walk rate and HR/9 have both regressed significantly, and sit at 4.28 and 2.30 this month.

Bundy has a good arsenal of pitches, but has not been whiffing batters regularly, striking out just 6.64 per nine innings. His FIP and xFIP sit at 4.76 and 5.20, indicating that more regression is in order. One of the biggest red flags in his profile has been his velocity. Compared to last season, the velocity on all of Bundy’s pitches have dropped more than 2 MPH.

With an innings limit quickly approaching, it’s hard to imagine Bundy contributing in a big way over the rest of the season. The Orioles offense is capable of carrying him to wins, but his inconsistent strikeouts and poor control will make him a shaky option in most starts.

Check out the rest of our 2017 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers.

About Jonathan Chan

Winning fantasy leagues since 2004. Losing them for much longer. Follow Jonathan on twitter @jchan_811 and he'll be ready for all your questions!

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