Fantasy Football

Week 15 Fantasy Football Defenses: Stream-O-Matic

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week 15 fantasy football defenses

Credit: m01229

Welcome to another week of streaming fantasy football defenses by way of Stream-O-Matic!

If you are here, you are probably still fighting for that league championship after playing the Falcons defense last week (or equivalent) due to Stream-O-Matic encouragement. Welcome back and I only desire to assist in your continued success here in the playoff stretch.

If not, then there are only a few reasons why you could still be here (in order of likelihood):


  1. Pity read by family members. Thanks mom and sisters!
  2. You are fighting not to be last place. I am in a couple of leagues that have, ehh, let’s call them ‘harsh’ punishments for the league loser. The relief of not being in last far outweighs the glory felt in achieving a championship, trust me.
  3. You like to challenge the rest of your league fighting for fantasy football defenses to stream. This is what I do and, though it may not be understood, it is accepted and appreciated. If only playoff contenders are fighting for waiver wire pickups, it can drastically affect winners and losers in one- or two-week setups.
  4. You are bored as hell. Actually, this one could be higher.

No matter the reason, I want to be sure to convince you that this was in fact a good idea. This week, I have a special gift – I will point out a few more defenses than normal that I find interesting for streaming. It’s a spectacular week for streaming, so I want to share all my thoughts!

Without further adieu, I give you the Stream-O-Matic for Week 15. Utilize this information wisely! If you have questions, tweet and repeat @therealwody.

Week 15 Fantasy Football Defenses

I used a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team. Tally up the points for each category and you’ve got overall standings.

Categories

  • Own%: Ownership percentages based on ESPN leagues. This gives me an idea of which fantasy football defenses might be available in differently sized leagues. This doesn’t factor into the point total.
  • Location: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, I gave a five-point advantage to all home teams. Now that’s not a huge difference, but it can sometimes be the deciding factor when struggling to pick between two defenses.
  • Wind: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is wind. Studies show that point totals tend to decrease linearly once wind speed surpasses 15 MPH. I have added a five-point bonus to both teams playing in such a windy condition.
  • Vegas: When in doubt, check the Vegas odds. I look at the spread and over/under to generate the game score the bettors go against. This game score depicts what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed. I now value Vegas lines about half as much as the major categories.
  • oSAC%: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but the quarterbacks they have don’t show the ability to avoid the sack and that shows in this statistic.
  • oINT%: Most fantasy football defenses not only get points for sacks, but turnovers too. The opponent’s interception percentage obviously can help in that regard. I didn’t use turnover percentage because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions.
  • FPPG: This is just a ranking of the fantasy football defenses by how many fantasy points they have scored on a per game basis so far this season. I used ESPN defensive scoring rankings for this table.
  • PFF: Pro Football Focus ranked each of the defenses based on their analysis of performance, which is probably the most trusted site out there (i.e. NBC uses their rankings for Sunday Night Football broadcasts).

Defenses on Bye Week: NONE!

Week 15 Defense Stream-O-Matic

RankTeam DefenseOwn%OpponentLocationWindVegasoSAC%oINT%FPPGPFFOverall
1Seahawks96.6Rams501626301929125
2Vikings95.2Colts501129203228125
3Bills52.8Browns5515.531242013113.5
4Ravens77.5Eagles5014.81517.52931112.3
5Dolphins40.5Jets0011.519322317102.5
6Falcons52.949ers5014.8301624.5999.3
7Cardinals85.9Saints508422283097
8Chiefs83.6Titans5012.5814302695.5
9Texans44.0Jaguars5013.51326142293.5
10Giants54.2Lions501217724.52792.5
11Patriots87.5Broncos0010.32811152589.3
12Raiders39.1Chargers0092331121489
13Broncos98.7Patriots507.371313283.3
14Redskins6.8Panthers509.5182911779.5
15Steelers35.7Bengals0010.327616.51978.8
16Packers48.1Bears05141113132177
17Cowboys29.8Buccaneers5013142151573
18Jets36.3Dolphins508.525272471.5
19Rams26.2Seahawks0012217.57.52371
20Saints3.2Cardinals005.524257.5668
21Eagles52.1Ravens003.8615222066.8
22Chargers41.2Raiders504.513272464.5
23Bears10.2Packers55398181664
24Lions65.1Giants006.552316.5859
25Panthers58.9Redskins002.5312211856.5
26Buccaneers12.5Cowboys001.8124261255.8
27Bengals81.3Steelers507.3219101154.3
28Jaguars5.6Texans00610285554
29Browns0.4Bills051.832101150.8
30Titans19.1Chiefs003.820591047.8
3149ers3.6Falcons000.52193336.5
32Colts7.9Vikings0051625230

Notables

The Snooze-a-palooza of the Week presented by ZzzQuil has been one of the better matchups of the past few years. The New England Patriots travel to the Mile High City to battle the Denver Broncos in an afternoon affair.

This is one of those games that I could see being moderately low scoring (low-to-mid 40’s), but not a dramatic day for the fantasy football defenses. I would agree with the Stream-O-Matic over which one I would prefer. The Patriots are the better play considering the Broncos have had issues in red zone scoring and running the football in general.

The Broncos scare me a little bit now. Star slot corner Chris Harris was on the nasty end of a dirty, albeit legal, hit by a Titans receiver and should sit out. The run defense has been very spotty and the Patriots can gameplan offensively with the best of them. I would expect a finish at or below what the Ravens defense was able to churn out against New England in Week 13.


The Barn-Lighting Scoreboard Burner for Week 14 must wait until Monday night. The Carolina Panthers make a northern hike up to D.C. to play the Washington Redskins. The Redskins will definitely light the scoreboard up – they have averaged 28.5 PPG in their last six games. The Panthers don’t give me the same warm, fuzzy feeling considering their inconsistent play on offense over the course of the season.

However, on this night, the Panthers should find success on the ground. Washington has one of the worst run defense in the league by many statistics including DVOA, rush yards per game, yards per rush, and yards after contact. If the Redskins can force Carolina into obvious passing situations, Cam Newton will still have chances to beat them with his legs on broken plays. I’m not risking my playoff chances with either of these fantasy football defenses this weekend.


The Shoulder-Shrugger of the Century of the Week brings us to the Meadowlands. The New York Giants play host to the Detroit Lions in a game with playoff implications. In the fantasy realm, I am not sure what to do with these fantasy football defenses.

The Giants represent the safer play after showing what they can do against a strong Cowboys offense in Week 13. The Lions haven’t played outside of a dome in 10 weeks. Matthew Stafford has a bum finger on his throwing hand. Detroit doesn’t have much balance offensively. Still, I would like to think that the turnovers wouldn’t be commonplace for the Giants to capitalize on.

The Lions have played well defensively lately, holding their last seven opponents to under 20 points. The Giants have only averaged 18.1 PPG in their last five games. They haven’t been capitalizing on the turnovers their defense has presented them. But alas, I cannot suggest playing the Lions defense in a high leverage situation in your playoffs.

In closing, I simply shrug my shoulders!



Buffalo Bills, DST3 (52.8%)

“Raise your hand if you play the Browns this week! You, Bengals defense, get your butt in my starting fantasy football lineup!” – This was my quote in last week’s Stream-O-Matic article. Just replace ‘Bengals’ with ‘Bills’ and you’re cooking.

The Bills just got manhandled by Le’Veon Bell and the Steelers last week in a snow game. That’ll happen sometimes though and they still held Ben Roethlisberger to a terrible passer rating. This week they get Robert Griffin and the still-winless Browns. If the Bills lose this game, I would expect Rex Ryan to get fired before he even gets to the post-game press conference.

I don’t expect them to be the first loser to Cleveland this year though. The Browns just don’t have anything going for them offensively. The Bills defense will finish in the top 10 by just stepping onto the field; anything else that happens is bonus.

Miami Dolphins, DST5 (40.5%)

So someone in your league dropped the Dolphins defense last week due to their Week 13 performance and Week 14 matchup. That’s fair, considering that the Bengals and Falcons defenses were hot pickups last week.

However, you need to capitalize and snag them if you don’t have one of the four defenses ahead of them on the Stream-O-Matic. Facing the Jets in a cold environment should be conducive to fantasy points. Bryce Petty hasn’t exactly rocked the whole NFL quarterback thing yet and the running game will be without Matt Forte this week at least. As a unit, they are in the bottom five in sacks-plus-interception percentage on passing plays.

The Dolphins might actually prefer this game to be played in New Jersey anyway – those fans are brutal! The boos will ring loud and clear after each dismal possession, thus leading in momentum for a big fantasy day for the Dolphins defense. All signs point to a solid output for opposing fantasy football defenses.

Atlanta Falcons, DST6 (52.9%)

If you took my advice and started the Falcons against the middle school Rams squad last week, you probably won your playoff matchup. Well, I’m going to continue riding the Atlanta wave this week at home against the ice-cold 49ers.

For starters, the terrible Jets defense held San Francisco to 17 points last week. If that doesn’t do it for you, I don’t know what will. The Falcons are playing for their divisional crown and will be much more motivated than San Francisco. That almost never leads to a close game – just look at the Rams game last week. I would expect Carlos Hyde to get his numbers, but if the 49ers are in catch-up mode, there’s absolutely no way they finish this game without multiple turnovers.

Hold on to the Falcons defense for one more week and reap the benefits.

Houston Texans, DST9 (44.0%)

Another fantasy football defense left for dead by one of your leaguemates is the Texans defense. Undeservedly so – they have held four top tier passing offenses to point totals well below average in their past four games.

They now face an offense that is not so great in either facet of offense in Jacksonville. They are 21st in both passing and rushing offense. Blake Bortles has regressed dramatically after a breakout 2015 and can’t help but throw picks every other throw. The lack of a running game has been detrimental to this offense although they could get Chris Ivory back this week (yippee…). Hell, even their kicker had a delay of game ON A KICKOFF last week. Pathetic!

The Jaguars are back to being an elite option to stream fantasy football defenses against. The Texans defense should have no issues holding them off in Week 14. Just another step in reaching that AFC South title with one of the worst quarterbacks in the league (impressive).

Oakland Raiders, DST12 (39.1%)

If you are desperate for a defense and none of the options above are available, take a look at the Raiders. Although unconventional, targeting the Chargers offense could be smart.



The Chargers are averaging 2.3 turnovers per game, good for second worst in the league. They should be without Melvin Gordon, he who is head and shoulders above whatever is left in that backfield. This offense is set up to fail as a one-dimensional offense and the Raiders should be licking their chops.

I believe the Raiders are appropriately ranked at DST12 and they can be trusted in a pinch should you be the last to the waiver wire of defenses this week.

About Tyler Thompson

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